Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.464386 0.596360 0.739247 0.903457 1.085153 1.278463 1.498169
2025-03-23 0.278991 0.452946 0.661703 0.920751 1.225321 1.565284 1.967309
2025-03-30 0.182593 0.367142 0.608312 0.924540 1.311241 1.755452 2.292616
2025-04-06 0.109057 0.288188 0.546437 0.904469 1.358600 1.893594 2.552811
2025-04-13 0.077321 0.259203 0.542352 0.950392 1.480365 2.114534 2.904819
2025-04-20 0.054380 0.236173 0.541343 0.996499 1.599604 2.330553 3.249694
2025-04-27 0.038829 0.220512 0.547612 1.049888 1.726300 2.554392 3.602997
2025-05-04 0.031911 0.220966 0.577697 1.135516 1.894116 2.828388 4.016305
2025-05-11 0.021890 0.208058 0.583818 1.185875 2.015131 3.044266 4.359618
2025-05-18 0.010913 0.182302 0.564497 1.197226 2.083206 3.193444 4.621705
2025-05-25 0.001322 0.135585 0.499777 1.136563 2.051700 3.215617 4.727633
2025-06-01 NaN 0.096760 0.439655 1.076598 2.016746 3.230191 4.821556
2025-06-08 NaN 0.070324 0.399035 1.046534 2.025522 3.305357 4.997398
2025-06-15 NaN 0.059581 0.391741 1.070012 2.109892 3.479171 5.297606
2025-06-22 NaN 0.046394 0.373488 1.072818 2.163266 3.611508 5.544994
2025-06-29 NaN 0.031441 0.342928 1.051442 2.180094 3.695025 5.730583
2025-07-06 NaN 0.029400 0.352625 1.101028 2.300231 3.914450 6.087137
2025-07-13 NaN 0.027589 0.362514 1.150846 2.420752 4.134527 6.444752
2025-07-20 NaN 0.026971 0.376627 1.208397 2.552802 4.370052 6.822134
2025-07-27 NaN 0.031045 0.409398 1.300509 2.736268 4.674053 7.286405
2025-08-03 NaN 0.029904 0.421510 1.354570 2.863456 4.903534 7.656682
2025-08-10 NaN 0.023706 0.411297 1.366746 2.928210 5.049972 7.921889
2025-08-17 NaN 0.011300 0.361780 1.301633 2.875594 5.038745 7.986265